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SPC Day 2 Outlook

Updates are issued at 100 am CST/CDT (0600/0700 UTC) and 1730 UTC - Current UTC time: Nov 18 2018 5:34 am


Categorical Probabilistic <= Move cursor over selections to display the selected graphic below.

Day 1


Categorical Day 2 Outlook

000
ACUS02 KWNS 171705
SWODY2
SPC AC 171704

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1104 AM CST Sat Nov 17 2018

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will be possible over south Texas Sunday, but no
severe weather is expected.

...South Texas...

Winds over the western Gulf will veer to southerly, contributing to
northward advection of partially modified Gulf air through south TX
ahead of a cold front. As this destabilization process is underway,
a shortwave trough now over northern Mexico will reach south central
TX early Sunday, augmenting deeper ascent within the frontal zone
and contributing to the development of showers and a few
thunderstorms. Though vertical wind profiles would conditionally
support organized storms, the thermodynamic environment is expected
to remain too marginal for a risk of severe weather. Activity should
move offshore by early evening.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado:  <2%     - None
Wind:     <5%     - None
Hail:     <5%     - None

..Dial.. 11/17/2018

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com