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SPC Day 3 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Nov 18 2018 6:23 am

Categorical Probabilistic <= Move cursor over selections to display the selected graphic below.

Day 1

Categorical Day 2 Outlook

ACUS03 KWNS 170714
SPC AC 170713

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0113 AM CST Sat Nov 17 2018

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z


Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Model guidance is in good agreement that the upper pattern will
become more progressive on Monday with the deep upper troughing
covering the eastern CONUS beginning to lose amplitude and shift
eastward. At the same time, western CONUS ridging will likely dampen
as it gradually moves eastward. A southern-stream shortwave trough
is expected to approach the southern CA coast late in the period. 

Expansive high pressure will dominate the sensible weather across
the majority of the lower 48 states. The only exception is along the
TX Gulf Coast, where are stalled front may interact with remnant
low-level moisture to support isolated thunderstorms. No severe
thunderstorms are anticipated.

..Mosier.. 11/17/2018


Day 2

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com