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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: Feb 22 2019 4:09 am


Convective Tornado Hail Wind <= Move cursor over selections to display the selected graphic below.

Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook

000
ACUS01 KWNS 220050
SWODY1
SPC AC 220048

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0648 PM CST Thu Feb 21 2019

Valid 220100Z - 221200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible across much of the Deep
South through tonight. Isolated thunderstorms will also affect parts
of Arizona and southern California.

...Portions of the Southeast...
Thunderstorms ongoing across central AL as of 0045Z have exhibited
brief organization at times over the last hour, while earlier
rotating cells over west-central GA have generally weakened. While a
nonzero threat for a damaging wind gust or brief tornado may persist
for a short while after 01Z into eastern AL as the storm complex
traverses a surface boundary, the threat appears too limited in
magnitude and duration to introduce any probabilities. See MCD 119
for more information. 

Otherwise, elevated convection will likely persist for much of the
night from the Arklamiss region eastward into TN and northern AL.
While effective shear will be sufficient for some transient storm
organization, poor midlevel lapse rates should limit the hail threat
while the increasingly elevated nature of the convection should
preclude any substantial wind threat overnight.

..Dean.. 02/22/2019

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com